wpe8330.jpg (1916 bytes)       TigerSoft Freedom News Service   -- last updated `10/4/2010

                                                 THE TAKEOVER IS ANNOUNCED

                              1) Insider Buying  2) Professional Buying  3) Public Selling

                                                                                         VRNT - on 7/20/2010 @20.42

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                 BEFORE IT IS ANNOUNCED.
       Make More Money from Merger Manias
                           (C) 2010   William Schmidt, Ph.D.  www.tigersoft.com    9/14/2010

                  When one company buys out another it first discusses the possibilities with its
                  Wall Street bankers, its lawyers and accountants and often the Board of DIrectors
                  of the company being bid for, at least to feel them out.  These are the insiders
                  whose "insider buying" we detect.  They are seldom required to post their purchases
                  with the SEC in other companies unless their buying is massive..

                  Rarely does the SEC police the "insider buying" that a takeover bid usually engenders,
                  except perhaps to look at the option trading before the accouncement.  Usually, the SEC
                  only takes up a case where the insider buying of options is obvious and egregious. 
                  Most of the time, the SEC does not want to challenge the big players on Wall Street.
                  It is far more likely to accomodate Wall Street professionals, for example, as it did when it
                  changed the short-selling rules in June 2007 to make aggresive professional short selling  
                  much easier, conveniently for Wall Street right before the 2007-2009 bear market. 

                  I   have wrtten a number of essays on complicity of the SEC with Wall Street criminals.
                  and the Crash of 2008=2009.  They will show, I think, that investors should not rely
                  upon the SEC to level the playing field for the public investor.
June 28, 2007
    Who's Guarding The Investors' Hen House?SEC Chairman Cox?
August  15, 2007
     The SEC Role in The 2007 Market Crash
                  11/19/2008 The Role of ULTRA ProShares EYFs in the Bubble and the Crash..."The current
                  SEC is clearly in cahoots with criminal bear raiders."

                  More and more, the SEC seems to only pick a case of insider trading that is easy to prove
                  where the insider trading profits are very big.  Insiders realize this and they buy and
                  sell with little fear that the SEC will penalize them unless they are particularly careless.
                  Lawyers do bring class action suits against some CEOs that Sell based on unreleased
                  and material insider knowledge,  But I have not heard of class ation law suits against insiders
                  who bought heavily before a stock rose.   

                  It may be human nature to show off their insider status or it may be simple greed,
                  but you can usually count on some of the insiders to quietly tell their friends and trading
                  associates about the stock that is going to be bid for. Wall Street is filled with analysts
                  and stock brokers who trade inside information with each other for a living.  Secrets like
                  a takeover-bid are next to impossible to keep silent about. 

                  It is all this insider buying that TigerSoft picks up on.  We nearly always spot tell-tale bulges
                  of insider buying in the stock's TigerSoft Insider Charts, first from our invention, the Tiger
                  Accumulation Index and second from the stock's rising Professional Closing Power that leads
                  such stocks to new highs.

                  I emphasize we are outsiders.  We do not know who the buyers are.  We do not know how
                  much they will offer to buy a compnay out.  And we do not know if the bid will be
                  accepted.   Even so, we still can make big money regularly using Tiger's Insider Trading charts.
                  Here's how.

> See which rumors should NOT be trusted
                > "Someone always knows"
                         How To Spot Explosive Super Stocks Early in Their Move
                         Killer Short Sales in Any Market                
                >   Because Professionals Run and Rig Stocks and the Market  more than ever,
                         TigerSoft also shows Public versus Professional Buying and Selling

                >   Note the industry areas being focused on for buy-outs.

              UNCA - Unica - biopharmaceutical company
Unica Corporation provides enterprise marketing management and on-demand marketing solutions to financial services, insurance, retail, telecommunications, and travel and hospitality industries worldwide.
              CRXL - CRUCELL - biopharmaceutical company
             RDWR - RADWARE   
Radware Ltd. provides application delivery and network security solutions to banks, insurance companies, manufacturing and retail, government agencies, media companies, and service providers worldwide.
            ARST - ARC SIGHT
ArcSight, Inc. provides compliance and security management solutions that protect enterprises and government agencies.
            NZ - NETEZZA
                 Netezza Corporation provides data warehouse, analytic, and monitoring appliances to enterprises, mid-market companies, and government agencies
            AKAM - AKAMAI Technoiogies
Akamai Technologies, Inc. provides services for accelerating and improving the delivery of content and applications over the Internet in the United States and internationally.
            MFE - MCAFEE
McAfee, Inc. operates as a security technology company that secures systems and networks worldwide.
            NOVL - Novell

             More will be posted here.  Check back often

TigerSoft Insider Trading Charts Insider Stock Trading Is Rampant Explosive Super Stocks  Killer Short Sales      Peerless Stock Market Timing: 1915-2010   TIGER Blog Testimonials    Predictions    Q&Answers. About us.
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                            HOW TO SPOT A COMING TAKE-OVER BID
                                  BEFORE IT IS ANNOUNCED

1.  Look for a bulge of the TigerSoft Accumulation above the
                                "Insider Buying" Threshold and Major Buys


2.   An Extremely Bullish Divergence: a Rise in the (BLUE) Tiger Professional-Closing
                                Power When Prices Fall.

J&J Bids $2.3 Billion for Crucell   The Wall Street Journal (Fri, Sep 17)

CRXL.BMP (1029654 bytes)

                                These conditions are readily flagged using TigerSoft's Power Ranker
                                and our Tiger Nightly Data for 6000 stocks, ETFs, commodities

            1.     TigerSoft Accumulation Index Shows "Insider Buying"
                                 and TigerSoft Shows Major Buys

            9/27/2010  Example -   I.B.M. to Buy Unica for $451.7 Millionat New York Times(Mon, Aug 16)
Under the terms of the deal, I.B.M. will pay $21 a share, a whopping 120 percent premium to Unica’s
            closing share price of $9.55 on ThursdayUNCA.BMP (1084854 bytes)

           9/14/2010 Example -   IBM or HP to Buy Radware: Reportat TheStreet.com(Tue, Sep 14)

RDWR.BMP (1036854 bytes)

         9/13/2010 Example - Hewlett-Packard buying ArcSight for $1.5 billionAP(Mon, Sep 13)

ARST.BMP (1080054 bytes)

              Example - NZ - Netezza - Barrons.com (Wed, Sep 8)
             Netezza Up 11% On Takeover Rumors; Cancels Investor Dinner             

                                                                                                                             9/20/2010 28.27
                                                                                                                             IBM bids $27 cash.

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             Example -  Akamai Stock Surges On Takeover Rumors (AKAM)  (Probably true)
AKAM.BMP (1046454 bytes)

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          Mar 21, 2010  Novell Rejects Takeover Bid... But Welcomes Other Bidders |

NOVL.BMP (1034454 bytes)

                                                                                   DDRX was finally bought out at 35.
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              Example -
Rumor is probably false. 0/13/2010  New York Times stock lifts on takeover stories
              So far, there are no surges of intense accumulation signifuing insider buying.  And Professionals
              continue to be net sellers the stock.
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        (2)     Rise in the Tiger Professional-Closing Power When Prices Fall
              Tiger's CLosing Power Makes A New Ahead before Price Does.

     Latest Example - Aug 19, 2010 ... Intel Corp. (NASDAQ: INTC) has agreed to purchase McAfee, Inc.
      (NYSE: MFE) for $7.7 billion ($48/share
MFE.BMP (1087254 bytes)

                                          SOUTHWEST WATER BOUGHT OUT AT $11/Share
                                                                   SIGNIFICANT PROFESSIONAL BUYING
                                                      SHOWS SOMEONE KNOWS SOMETHING
                                                      VERY BULLISH ABOUT THIS STOCK.
SWWC1.BMP (1039254 bytes)                                                                    BUYOUT AT $11.  
SWWC2.BMP (1041654 bytes)

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