Daily Blog - Tiger Software

                                 June 19,  2007
      >>> Years ending in "7" Show Big Declines
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   William Schmidt,     - Tiger Software's Creator
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Tuesday - June 19, 2007           

                Big Stock Market Declines in Year ending in "7" 


             Coincidence or Something Significant
?.  I have my views.   But did you
    know that years ending in "7" have since 1887 always had a significant pullback
   or bear market?  My new book
Peerless Stock Market Timing: 1915-2007 will
    help clarify and explain the phenomenon. 
The average DJI-30 Decline at some point in a
    year year ending in "7" is 23%!
With the DJI up a record 51 months without
    a 10% correction, now would  be a good time to start using
Peerless Stock Market Timing.

                                         
Table       FALLS IN YEARS ENDING IN "7"

                             1837              Panic
                             ......
                             1887              September 19 (-2.24%) & October 12 (-2.29%) 
                             1897              September 21 (-3.95%) & October 12 (-3.90%) 
                             1907              Declined whole year from 90 to 55  in November           37% decline.
                                               
Major banking panic October 22.
                            
                               ---------------------- My study starts in 1915 -----------------------------------
                             1917              Early June peak at 99.... Bottom in December at 66  ... 33% decline.
                                                  
                             ...........................................................................................................................................
                             1927              Peak on 10/4 at 200... Fell to 181 on 10/24... 9.5% decline
                                                   
                             .....................................................................................................................................................
                             1937              Peak was at 190 on 8/16 ...  Fell to 113.6 on 11/24 October 18  ...40% decline
  wpe1F.jpg (42293 bytes)                                                     
                             .....................................................................................................................................................
                             1947              Peak was at 184 on 2/11...  Fell to 163.60 on May 20.   ...10.9% decline
                             On going- bear market which was started with major "Sell S12" on October 14, 1946                          
                             ......................................................................................................................................................
                             1957              Peak was at 521 on 7/12...  Fell to 419.80 on October 22.     ...19.4% decline
                                                      Classic "Sell S9" at upper 3.0% band.
                                                      "Sell 12": Tip off was Accum.Index was <+.05 at upper 3% band. 
                                                      Credit crunch. Sputnik
wpe1E.jpg (49074 bytes)
                             .....................................................................................................................................................
                              1967                Peak was at 943 on 9/25...  Fell to 826 on March 22.   ...12.4% decline
                                                    Timely Major Sell
DATA6768.gif (12416 bytes)
                              .....................................................................................................................................................
                              1977              On-going bear market which did not bottom until March 1978...
                                                                                                                                    ...19.0% decline
                             ......................................................................................................................................................
                             1987               Peak was at 2702 on 8/26...  Fell to 1739  on October 19.   ...35.6% decline
                                                  10/1 at 2639 "Sell 12": 
                                                  10/2 at 2640 Classic "Sell S9"   34.1% decline
wpe20.jpg (52209 bytes)
                             ......................................................................................................................................................
                             1997              Peak was at 8015.5 on 10/1... Fell to7498 on 10/28  6.5% decline
                                                 "Sell 12":
                             ......................................................................................................................................................
                             2007               ????   DJI  
 
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