TIGER SOFTWARE's
Elite Stock Professional Service (ESP)
7/13/2007
(c) 2007 William Schmidt, Ph.D.**
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Suggestions:
Comments here are meant to suggest the aspects of chart analysis that may be helpful to you. In a few cases, I may have long or short positions in some of these stocks. But the positions are small and I am just as likely to buy these stocks later next week, especially if they act well.
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*BUYS*
AI/200 Close Change Comments
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200 VWO 99.16 +.68 IP21=.55
.... Vanguard Emerging Markets.. Steady advance.
199 ILF 231.20 +.68 IP21=.25
... Probably best to wait for another pullback
to rising 21-day ma
197 EWZ 68.21 +.37 IShares Brazil
... Probably best to wait for another pullback
to rising 21-day ma
188 AMAC 9.34 +.04
185 ONVI 8.86 +.21 IP21=.45 185 CTCH 2.48 +.03 Buy B12
185 TRNS 7.69 +.44 Buy B12 See chart below. ...................................................................................... ...................................................................................... ======================================================================= *SHORT SALES:*
Symbol AI/200 Close Comments ------ ------ ----- ----------------------------------------------------- QID 16 41.80 -.54 ________________________________________________________________________________________
***Abbreviations:*** price versus 50 day ma AR = Above rising 50-dma (Bullish) ATH = All-time high BF = Below Falling 50-dma (Bearish) Current IP21 vs (TISI) 21-day ma of IP21 A = above U = Under (Bearish) SS = Sell Short BO = Breakout NC = OBV non-confirmation. IP21=current Accum Index. TISI = 21-day ma of IP21. ..........................................
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| Highest AI/200 Stocks: AI/200>190
Above Rising 50-day ma, over $10 These are stocks that institutions are buying heavily for 1-3 year gains. They should find plenty of support at key moving averages. C:\highai Days back= 133 2007 Performance
12 / 29 / 2006 - 7 / 13 / 2007
AI/200 Symbol Name Price Pct.Gain % over 50dma Long Term Pct.of Pct.of
Accumulation Opens Closes
(0-200) Up Up
--------- ----------------------------------- ---------- ------------ ----------- ------------- -------- --------
200 CRH Coram Healthcare Corp. 51.24 20% 3.7% 200 44% 66%
200 HEW --- 32.49 26% 5.4% 200 28% 62%
200 ILF ISHALATIN AMERICA 40 INDEX 231.2 36% 9.6% 200 58% 57%
200 NBG --- 12.51 34% 8.5% 200 49% 53%
200 VPL Vang Pacific Stock VIPERs 72.66 9% 3% 200 54% 53%
200 VWO Vang Emerg Markets VIPERs 99.16 28% 11% 200 59% 50%
199 EWZ ISHARES MSCI BRAZIL INDEX 68.21 45% 14% 199 57% 57%
199 GPX GP Strategies Corp. 11.15 34% 5.1% 199 35% 62%
199 QADI QAD Inc. 8.6 2% 1.7% 199 24% 60%
198 OME Omega Protein Corporation 10.06 30% 16.3% 198 31% 54%
197 CEVA --- 9.38 44% 18.1% 197 24% 61%
197 TI Telecom Italia S.p.A. 28.65 -5% .9% 197 42% 61%
196 EFD --- 35.37 28% 5% 196 42% 55%
196 ELOY --- 19.63 4% -14.2% 196 36% 54%
195 ASG Liberty rowth Fund Inc. 6 11% 5% 195 23% 60%
195 VGR --- 22.48 26% 10.4% 195 47% 51%
195 CAE Cascade Corporation 82.91 56% 12.7% 194 40% 57%
195 SCI SCI Systems 12.66 23% -3.9% 194 29% 56%
193 ATX A.T. Cross Company 12.4 63% 15.1% 193 39% 55%
192 BG --- 84.7 16% 6.9% 192 44% 54%
192 FMS Fresenius Medical Care AG 45.84 3% -4.4% 192 48% 59%
191 KYO Kyocera Corporation 108.15 13% 6.9% 191 45% 63%
191 ABB --- 24.82 38% 14.3% 191 55% 62%
191 CAFE Host America Corporation 2.2 41% 1.9% 191 24% 52%
191 CCBL C-COR.net Corporation 15.46 38% 10% 191 52% 51%
191 CLDA --- 21.88 36% 1.3% 191 39% 57%
191 DMC --- 13.45 21% 4.8% 191 41% 47%
191 GES Guess ? 51.67 62% 12.8% 191 52% 49%
191 IWM iShares Russell 2000 Index 85.05 8% 2.3% 191 49% 59%
190 UFCS United Fire & Casualty 35.5 0% -3.3% 190 39% 54%
190 ANZ Australia & N.Z. Banking 124 11% .2% 190 52% 59%
190 DNB Dun & Bradstreet Corp 105.78 27% 5.8% 190 36% 59%
190 LR Lanier Worldwide 46.26 24% 5.6% 190 44% 64%
189 ALD AlliedSignal 29.92 -9% -3.5% 189 52% 56%
189 MTN Vail Resorts 62.42 39% 3.3% 189 49% 55%
189 ACAS American Capital Strat. 46.03 -1% .7% 189 60% 58%
189 CW Curtiss-Wright Corp. 49.08 32% 7.4% 189 43% 59%
188 AMAC American Medical Alert 9.34 39% 19.1% 188 43% 49%
187 XLV Health Care Select Sect SPDR 35.92 7% -.3% 187 49% 54%
187 FSCI Fisher Companies 51.29 16% 1.9% 187 37% 57%
185 ITU --- 48.8 34% 10.3% 185 57% 53%
185 ONVI --- 8.86 50% 6.8% 185 31% 62%
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*CONFIMED NEW HIGHS*
OBV should confirm NH
IP21 should be >.25 ... Better is IP21>.50 and under <.80.
AI/200 should be above 138 ... Better is AI/200 >150.
Red high volume & gaps confirm the breakout.
Stocks should probably be over $10 unless you watch them closely.
ITRS>-.04 and under .80
Notes: Many times a flat topped breakout that is exactly defined and well-tested
brings a quick move of 15%. Of the conditions above, the least important is
probably the AI/200 value being above 140. ITRS should be above -.04.
Look at CHDX. This shows the importance of an earlier IP21 bulge above .50
or even .60 if the OBV confirms. Piggy-back pattern are just above the
flat topped pattern mean much higher prices. See also CUBA, IGLD, RYAAY for same reason.
Here we have taken all the stocks making New Highs on Friday
and ranked for IP21 (Current Accumulation), we take only the top 50.
Normally we screen with "NEWHIGH" list plus "IP21OV25". Point of breakout tells you where to expect support on first decline. Look also for OBV confirmations, gaps and high volume.
Stocks Making New Highs on Friday: 50 Highest IP21 Stocks Shown
C:\NH2007 Days back= 134 12 / 28 / 2006 - 7 / 13 / 2007 2007 Performance
Rank Symbol Name Price Pct Gain % over AI/200 Up Pct Close Up Pct
50-day ma
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1 NEOG Neogen Corporation 29.41 33% 7.2% 146 51% 51%
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2 TFIN Team Financial 16.89 8% 11.6% 121 41% 21%
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3 AXYS Axsys Technologies 25.94 52% 25.6% 138 39% 57%
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4 TBUS Digital Recorders 3.43 183% 44.7% 109 40% 49%
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5 VWO Van Emerging Markets VIPERsc 99.16 28% 11.3% 200 58% 51%
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6 PJH --- 26.7 4% 5.4% 91 43% 12%
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7 BEAV BE Aerospace 43.29 64% 11.4% 181 53% 52%
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8 CTCH CommTouch Software Ltd. 2.48 106% 27.3% 185 36% 52%
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9 UG United-Guardian 14.58 61% 16.9% 113 39% 42%
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10 ERO --- 51.15 2% 2.4% 30 11% 91%
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11 TRNS Transmation 7.69 39% 33% 185 33% 46%
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12 IFLO I-Flow Corporation 18.62 23% 16.3% 145 42% 49%
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13 CIR --- 43.64 14% 11.8% 176 44% 57%
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14 KEF KOREA EQUITY FUND 14.5 28% 16.2% 152 53% 55%
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15 GF NEW GERMANY FUND 19.08 32% 8.5% 200 42% 65%
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16 TF THAI CAPITAL FUND 15.3 32% 22.6% 129 47% 52%
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17 SGR Shaw Group Inc. 57.58 68% 38.3% 97 53% 53%
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18 CPLP --- 30.95 15% 15.2% 73 12% 88%
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19 BWV --- 51.43 2% 2.1% 16 8% 91%
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20 AAON AAON 33.62 23% 13% 115 49% 51%
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21 ONEQ Fidelity Nasdaq Comp Tracking 106.35 11% 4.3% 174 57% 56%
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22 HTE --- 33.18 48% 8.7% 159 58% 51%
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23 IWZ iShares Russell 3000 Growth Index 50.16 11% 3.1% 155 53% 57%
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24 AMAC American Medical Alert 9.34 41% 19.1% 188 43% 49%
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25 SHOR --- 14 14% 13.6% 2% 100%
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26 VDE Vanguard Energy VIPERs 107.72 25% 7.5% 153 58% 54%
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27 OIIM --- 13.26 53% 22.2% 123 47% 46%
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28 TLK P. T. Telekomunikasi 51.61 13% 16.1% 179 45% 53%
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29 COST Costco Wholesale Corp. 62.98 18% 10.8% 109 52% 51%
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30 PENX Penford Corporation 34.88 101% 59.5% 155 43% 52%
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31 BIDU --- 212.84 86% 42.3% 108 60% 53%
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32 BIIB --- 55.92 13% 10.2% 172 38% 57%
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33 ASI American Safety Insurance 24.09 30% 8.6% 175 35% 60%
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34 APOL Apollo Group 62.78 62% 23.6% 147 51% 51%
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35 GRMN --- 82.28 46% 24.5% 142 57% 54%
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36 QQEW --- 23.07 14% 4.8% 113 56% 49%
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37 PAYX Paychex 43.44 9% 9.5% 168 48% 51%
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38 RIMM Research In Motion Ltd. 227.52 75% 33% 164 57% 52%
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39 WPO Washington Post Co. 800 5% 3.9% 178 39% 56%
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40 KYE --- 30.35 16% 5.9% 135 53% 54%
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41 SLB Schlumberger Ltd. 89.64 40% 10% 156 51% 51%
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42 PEDE Great Pee Dee Bancorp 19.95 28% 28.3% 140 32% 18%
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43 DSX --- 26 64% 17.3% 141 66% 51%
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44 BCF Burlington Coat Factory 16.95 14% 4.7% 149 31% 60%
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45 BSY British Sky Broadcasting 58.24 41% 12.6% 183 45% 63%
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46 MXE MEXICO EQUITY-INCOME FUND 44.65 69% 18.9% 138 64% 56%
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47 TSL --- 70.86 272% 38.2% 63 37% 74%
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48 IFSIA Interface 20.09 39% 12.7% 141 51% 53%
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49 VRUS --- 10.73 18% 23.5% 2 12% 86%
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50 CHL China Telecom (Hong Kong) 58.69 32% 18% 171 59% 55%
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_______________________________________________________________________________________ *BUY B12s *- IP21>.45 and ITRS>.30 and AI/200>100 and NH
BULLISH B12'S Many times a B12 will retreat back to its rising 50-day ma and then take off. Consider the case of STV in June. On the other hand, if a B12 occurs on a line formation breakout, do not look for a pullback for a while. See this in USLM in February. The best B12s occur with the stock making a new high. Previous week's B12 should be bought on pullbacks to rising mas and at point of breakout. IP21 should be greater than 147 in this environment. Buy B12 AI/200 must equal at least 120. NH must be occurring.
B12 recently AI/200
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AXYS 138 25.94 + 60 ... Breakout was at 22
Powerful accumulation and high volume.
See if it can be bought on 5% pull-back.
Often it pays to buy 1/2 on first pullback
and Buy 1/2 even this much later.
TBUS 109 3.43 +.16 Previously a Buy B12 5 months ago
CTCH 185 2.48 +.03 2.10 was breakout
Above upper band.
UG 14.58 +1.08
TRNS 185 7.69 +.44 (Buy)
Previous B12 on 6/29/2007 at 6.99
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BEARISH Stocks Many times beaten down stocks get a boost when tax-loss selling lifts at end of year. So, be careful here. Look at AMD, ANPI and ANPL. One of best places to short a weak stock is after it drops back below 50-day ma and its IP21 drops below its TISI (the 21-day ma of its IP21. IP21 = the current value of the Accum Index. ITRS should be below -.10. Best to watch ITRS, too. Short sales should normally be in ITRS downtrends.
New Lows (NL) and "Bearish" and Top Patterns and violations of key MAs IP21 should be below TISI (falling IP21) or below -.25 Watch ITRS. ITRS downtrend is very useful. OBV need not confirm a new low.
In a strong market, it is often best to simply use a Buy Stop above| 21-day ma.
New Lows over $5.00
AI/200 Comments
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AHM 104 14.09 -.36
BCSB 10.01 -.16
QID 16 41.80 -.54
WON 99 5.90 +.02
XOM 140 86.46 +1.30 XOM
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